Markets took a downward turn in October as the impact of the global monetary tightening cycle, excessive valuations within some asset classes, political uncertainty and issues across emerging market currencies turned sentiment sour. However, we believe this was a sensible correction, not the first leg down in a long-term bear market.
In this forecast we look forward to 2018, with a perhaps somewhat brighter outlook for the domestic UK economy than the market consensus. Much of the commentary surrounding the UK is very negative, but looking at the data itself brings to mind the line from Russell Howard’s TV show: “It’s not all doom and gloom!”
Despite heightened geopolitical risk, questionable political decision-making and monetary policy uncertainty, markets have been remarkably stable so far in 2017. At Canada Life Investments, our quarterly asset mix meetings – which bring together all of our investment professionals – provide us with the opportunity to set out our expectations for asset prices for the quarter ahead.