Many of today’s younger fund managers – for example those who started their careers in 2007 or later – have only known an environment in which growth equities have outperformed value equities. Indeed, many industry discussions at conferences we attend discuss the view that growth is the only way forward, particularly in the United States. Many analysts in particular are unable to fathom why anyone would adopt a value bias, in any circumstance!
It is normal to be seduced by headline performance figures in an attempt to judge fund quality. Typically, the industry focuses on cumulative three and five year performance figures when screening funds for selection. However, we believe there is a different way to assess processes and outcomes, the persistency of returns.
With less dovish tones starting to emanate from central banks globally, relatively high valuations across equities and a cooling off in the London property market, it is safe to say that we are not spoilt for choice in terms of attractive opportunities. Following a somewhat volatile second quarter, how are we positioned for Q3?
In 2016, we timed the portfolio shifts of the CF Canlife Global Equity and CF Canlife North American funds very well, rotating our overweights into the more value areas of the market as economic indicators – such as the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index – began to suggest that consensus views were too bearish.
Tomorrow happens to be Canada Day, which celebrates the 1867 unification of Canada, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick into what we now know as Canada. I have just returned from a trip to Canada, attending a number of conferences and meetings with our group clients and colleagues. It was my first visit to the country and, perhaps most surprisingly to me, was the difference in the prevailing political environment.