The risks of going passive in fixed income

The growth of passive investing is widely discussed by equity market investors, but less so in fixed income. This is because there are a number of differences between equity and bond indices that need to be taken into consideration when analysing the active versus passive debate, which we believe supports the case for active management.

Michael Count

Michael Count

Senior Fund Manager, Fixed Income

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The implications of a flattening yield curve

Despite market volatility, the synchronised global economic recovery has continued apace. In the UK, GDP forecasts were revised up to 1.6% on the back of this stronger growth, whilst we also saw wage growth exceed inflation for the first time in twelve months. However, this dip in inflation (to 2.5%) has caused the market to speculate that UK interest rates – and therefore bond yields – will not now rise as fast as previously thought.

Michael Count

Michael Count

Senior Fund Manager, Fixed Income

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Why growth could be revised up in the US

The first estimate of Q1 US GDP growth came in at 2.3% on Friday afternoon, slightly ahead of consensus expectations but much lower than the 2.9% seen in the previous quarter. Some may see this as a disappointment and a further sign that the global economic recovery is slowing. However, we believe Q1 GDP numbers have structural flaws, which means that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is unlikely to reverse their plans for the trajectory of interest rates.

David Arnaud

David Arnaud

Senior Fund Manager, Fixed Income

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Q2 2018 outlook: a mature economic cycle

As volatility has returned to financial markets, driven by less accommodative central bank policy and fears over the path of inflation, an overarching question is when is the current cycle likely to end?

David Marchant

David Marchant

Chief Investment Officer, Canada Life Limited & Managing Director, Canada Life Asset Management Limited.

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Investing for the long-term within a changing economy

As investors, we are often asked what long-term trends we are trying to gain exposure to across our multi-asset portfolios and, at Canada Life Investments, a long-term approach is central to what we do. However, there are subtleties to this that are often not talked about.

David Marchant

David Marchant

Chief Investment Officer, Canada Life Limited & Managing Director, Canada Life Asset Management Limited.

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