Due to a plethora of economic and political uncertainties our strategy in Q4 2018 proved to be diligent and our focus in Q1 2019 will continue to be on a more defensive positioning. December was particularly volatile given the market’s reaction to the US Federal Reserve’s fourth interest rate hike of the year and there seems to be no end to spread oscillations (and further widenings) across all sectors given Brexit, ongoing trade tensions between the US and China and slower global growth.
As 2018 winds down, we are faced with the fact that Brexit and the cloudy uncertainties it poses on UK businesses and investors continues to drag on. Although it is difficult to predict what will happen given the range of outcomes and indeed the range of forecasts on the impacts of those outcomes, we at Canada Life Investments in London feel it is important to communicate a brief analysis of it as we move into 2019.
Markets took a downward turn in October as the impact of the global monetary tightening cycle, excessive valuations within some asset classes, political uncertainty and issues across emerging market currencies turned sentiment sour. However, we believe this was a sensible correction, not the first leg down in a long-term bear market.
The growth of passive investing is widely discussed by equity market investors, but less so in fixed income. This is because there are a number of differences between equity and bond indices that need to be taken into consideration when analysing the active versus passive debate, which we believe supports the case for active management.
The LF Canlife Sterling Liquidity Fund is designed to provide institutional investors with a high degree of capital security and daily liquidity via a conservative, but flexible approach to cash and fixed income investing. Launched in July last year and AAAf/S1 rated by Fitch, we believe the Fund offers diversification versus bank deposits combined with high levels of liquidity and credit quality.