The implications of a flattening yield curve

Despite market volatility, the synchronised global economic recovery has continued apace. In the UK, GDP forecasts were revised up to 1.6% on the back of this stronger growth, whilst we also saw wage growth exceed inflation for the first time in twelve months. However, this dip in inflation (to 2.5%) has caused the market to speculate that UK interest rates – and therefore bond yields – will not now rise as fast as previously thought.

Michael Count

Michael Count

Senior Fund Manager, Fixed Income

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Why growth could be revised up in the US

The first estimate of Q1 US GDP growth came in at 2.3% on Friday afternoon, slightly ahead of consensus expectations but much lower than the 2.9% seen in the previous quarter. Some may see this as a disappointment and a further sign that the global economic recovery is slowing. However, we believe Q1 GDP numbers have structural flaws, which means that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is unlikely to reverse their plans for the trajectory of interest rates.

David Arnaud

David Arnaud

Senior Fund Manager, Fixed Income

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Q2 2018 outlook: a mature economic cycle

As volatility has returned to financial markets, driven by less accommodative central bank policy and fears over the path of inflation, an overarching question is when is the current cycle likely to end?

David Marchant

David Marchant

Chief Investment Officer, Canada Life Limited & Managing Director, Canada Life Asset Management Limited.

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How can department stores adapt to the digital age of retailing?

As the current challenges in the department store sector are increasing, the question is whether the department store model, in its current form, is sustainable and relevant in the current retail market. Is its decline inevitable, or can it possibly be reversed? What could be done to address the many challenges it faces and make it fit for purpose in the modern age of retailing?

Joanna Turner

Joanna Turner

Head of Property Research

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Is US tech in crisis?

At Canada Life Investments, we have long been bearish on a number of the US technology stocks on valuation grounds. Companies such as Alphabet (Google’s parent company), Amazon and Facebook are investor favourites and amongst the largest 10 stocks in the US equity market. However, what has been behind their recent sell-off?

Mike Willans

Mike Willans

Head of Equities

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